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NDI

The National Democratic Institute is a nonprofit, nonpartisan organization working to support and strengthen democratic institutions worldwide through citizen participation, openness and accountability in government.

News and Views

Commentary from experts on the directions and challenges of democracy assistance programs.

October 12, 2012

14-Year-Old Taliban Shooting Victim Malala Yousafzai's Impact in Pakistan

The Atlantic

“So where do all the security measures and the claims of victory against the Taliban in Swat stand following the attack on Malala Yousafzai?” asks Daud Khan Khattak in his article for The Atlantic. He explores how the Taliban’s assassination attempt against Malala, a young Pakistani girl demanding education, will impact the country’s political future and stability.

Khattak explains that upcoming general elections have impacted religious leaders’ response to the attack. Leaders of religious parties “have offered only bland generalizations like ‘we condemn terrorism’ and ‘whoever is responsible for the attack must be punished.’" He argues that these responses make civilians who want a “modern, developing peaceful country” the victims.

Imran Khan, a “cricketer-turned-politician” led a rally in which he “called for talks with the Taliban.” Yet, many look to past negotiations and peace deals with the Taliban that have failed. As Bashir Ahmad Bilour, a minister in Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa province, points out “‘how can we hold talks with people who are out to kill even our children and boldly claim responsibility for such attacks?’”

While the question of how Pakistan’s leaders will respond to Taliban violence continues, Malala’s “unarmed jihad… has proven stronger and more lasting than the gunshots from her would-be assassin and is resounding in every corner of Pakistan, inspiring her countrymen to stand up…”

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October 8, 2012

Chávez Calls for Unity After Victory in Venezuela

The New York Times

After President Hugo Chávez won the Venezuelan presidential election with 55 percent of the vote, he reportedly called his rival, Henrique Capriles Radonski, to appeal for “national unity.” They both mentioned their telephone conversation in Twitter posts, referring to “unity and mutual respect.” However, the exchange did not visibly ease relations between Chávez and the opposition.

William Neuman reports that “there was little indication of a warmer tone on display at a news conference held by National Assembly President Diosdado Cabello, a leader in Mr. Chávez’s party, who called the vote for Mr. Chávez “a resounding majority.” Additionally, a lot of uncertainty remains about the direction Chávez plans to lead Venezuela, as many are unclear about what his version of “‘21st century socialism,’” will mean.

Many economists believe that Chávez’s plan will be hindered “in the short term by a looming economic reckoning.” Ricardo Hausmann, the director of the Center for International Development at Harvard University warns that “‘they engineered an electoral year boomlet that is now going to fizzle...’”

Mr. Chávez’s health has also posed a major question for Venezuela’s political future. “Francisco Rodríguez, an economist with Bank of America Merrill Lynch, speculated that Mr. Chávez might propose changing the succession rules,” in order to ensure that he can appoint his successor.

While many are congratulating Venezuela on carrying out “peaceful elections,” the opposition party has expressed grievances. Ramón Guillermo Aveledo, a leader of the opposition coalition that backed Mr. Capriles argues that elections were “clean but not fair because, he said, Mr. Chávez had used vast state resources to promote his campaign.”

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October 7, 2012

Chávez Wins New Term in Venezuela, Holding Off Surge by Opposition

The New York Times

William Neuman’s New York Times article reports on the recent re-election victory of President Hugo Chávez in Venezuela. Chávez defeated his opponent Henrique Capriles Radonski by a margin of 54 to 45 percent. Though he won definitively, Neuman reports that the margin was narrower than in past elections, and Chávez is now a “politically weakened winner facing an emboldened opposition that grew stronger and more confident as the voting neared, and held out hope that an upset victory was within reach.” Turnout for the vote was more than 80 percent, the highest it has been in decades.

Venezuela’s problems, “including out-of-control violent crime, crumbling roads and bridges, and power blackouts that regularly plague much of the country outside the capital,” have Chávez facing a different country than his previous years in office. His health, as well as his refusal to publicly share details of his cancer, also poses the question of whether he will be able to serve out his new term in full, to the end of 2019.

Though the opposition lost, Michael Shifter of the Inter-American Dialogue deemed the election a “‘fundamental turning point,’” because Chávez is “‘going to have to deal with a very different society than he dealt with in his last term, a society that’s awakened and more organized and more confident.’”

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October 4, 2012

Winning Coalition in Georgia Demands Vote Recount

The New York Times

Georgia’s postelection calm has been “shaken” by triumphant members of the Georgian Dream Coalition who are challenging “a dozen regional vote counts in hopes of securing additional parliamentary seats.”

In response to the protest, some of which turned violent, Bidzina Ivanishvili, the leader of the Georgian Dream coalition, is urging his followers “to end street protests and wait for change to come through legal means.”

Additionally, “a newspaper in Tbilisi published a full-page list of the names of guards and other officials at Gldani prison in Tbilisi, where a recent abuse scandal took place, in what seemed to be an invitation for revenge.” These events have heightened concerns about Georgia’s stability because the country has “no record of a peaceful transfer of power.”

Mr. Ivanishvili has “given mixed signals” about how he plans to re-structure the government. When “asked what would happen to Mr. Saakashvili and the half-dozen officials closest to him," he said, “’what awaits them is the court and the law.’”

Many fear that “Mr. Ivanishvili’s supporters have dangerously high expectations for the postelection period.” Human Rights experts—including Giorgi Gogia, a researcher for Human Rights Watch—,warn that “this new government needs to say very clearly that they should not be taking justice into their own hands.”

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October 2, 2012

Georgia's President Concedes Defeat in Parliamentary Elections

The New York Times

Ellen Barry reports on Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili’s decision to concede defeat and declare himself an opposition politician in the parliamentary elections on Tuesday, after his party lost the Oct. 1 parliamentary elections to the Georgian Dream coalition 55.1 percent to 40.1 percent. This decision is “extraordinary” as other Georgian post-Soviet leaders have left office only after “pressure from chanting crowds and the threat of civil war.”

“‘You know well that the views of this coalition were, and still are, fundamentally unacceptable for me… But democracy works in this way — the Georgian people make decisions by majority,’” said Mr. Saakashvili about his decision.

In the run up to the election, many feared “a confrontation between government forces and the throngs of voters who had coalesced around Mr. Saakashvili’s challenger, the billionaire philanthropist Bidzina Ivanishvili.” Despite these fears, many celebrated the recent events, including Senator Jeanne Shaheen, a New Hampshire Democrat, who remarked that Mr. Saakashvili’s concession is a sign of his “‘commitment to the democratic process.’’’ Republican Congressman David Dreier of California, who lead a delegation from the International Republican Institute (IRI) said that it was “'clearly the most competitive election in the history of the country.'”

Saakashvili’s concession, however, “opens to the door to another unknown.” Mr. Saakasvhili will remain president until next year, which means “he will have to serve alongside Mr. Ivanishvili, who will most likely be prime minister.” Many, including Ivanishvili himself, fear that the “two men can [could] not collaborate,” given their fundamentally different political ideologies and visions for Georgia’s future.

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October 2, 2012

Grave Mistake to Downplay Landmark African Agreement

Business Day

Former President Thabo Mbeki expresses excitement about the signing of the Sudan-South Sudan Co-operation Agreement, which he describes as “epoch-making in terms of the remaking of the African continent.”

The agreements define a slew of matters including economic, security, nationality and border issues all in the interest of creating and maintaining peace. “They determine that the conflict in this part of Africa has ceased to be a UN Charter Chapter VII threat to international peace and security.” These agreements “constitute the most comprehensive set of agreements determining relations between two African neighboring states...” Lastly, they are the “only” agreements in “which two independent African states enter into a binding agreement to work together for mutual benefit, to ensure each develops as a viable state.”

The “bulk” of African media “essentially ignored the signing of the Sudan-South Sudan Co-operation Agreement, treating this immensely important African development virtually as a non-event.” President Mbeki believes that is a “failure by the media to inform its readers, listeners and viewers about a matter vital to Africa’s future,” and will “inevitably feed the perception that Africa’s future” is defined by outside forces.

As Mbeki asserts, these historic agreement “sets a unique benchmark between two African sovereign states about how neighbors should construct relations, to give concrete reality to the objectives shared by the peoples of our continent of African integration, unity, solidarity and mutually beneficial co-operation.”

The implementation of this agreement could make the Sudanese people “pathfinders” or “pioneers” in achieving “the historic objective of African unity.”

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October 1, 2012

Inspired by Collaborative Political Leaders

The Huffington Post

Mark R. Kennedy’s article, “Inspired by Collaborative Political Leaders” reflects on a historic moment of American bipartisan collaboration that pushed the country and the world forward.

Democratic National Committee (DNC) Chairman Charles Manatt and Republican National Committee (RNC) Chairman Frank Fahrenkopf “inherently understood their common interest was in layingthe foundation for transition from authoritarian governments that controlled so much of the world's political map in 1983.” Kennedy notes that today’s political leaders would benefit from studying this kind of consensus-building.

Through collaboration and joint effort under President Reagan, Congress authorized and funded the National Endowment for Democracy (NED), the National Democratic Institute for International Affairs (NDI), the International Republican Institute (IRI), the Center for Private Enterprise (CIPE), and the Solidarity Center. The establishment of these institutions profoundly influenced and facilitated the spread of democracy around the world. Kennedy explains that the “new freedoms many enjoy today resulted from the democracy promotion efforts spawned by Reagan, Rep. Dante Fascell, Manatt, Fahrenkopf, and others.”

To celebrate their achievements, The George Washington University's Graduate School of Political Management (GSPM) has opened the exhibit “Making Democracy Work.” Because today’s “national political leadership seems to have lost all appreciation for consensus-building skills,” Kenney hopes that this exhibit “will help inspire surmounting the current political hurdles we face.”

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September 30, 2012

The Burmese Odd Couple

The New York Times

In Bill Keller’s op-ed, “The Burmese Odd Couple,” he reflects on the relationship between the revered opposition figure Aung San Suu Kyi and President U Thein Sein. They are “improbable partners,” says Keller, but they both share “an awareness that dictatorship has led their country close to utter ruin.”

Both have made noteworthy accomplishments in democratizing Burma. Suu Kyi has “brought her party into elections, even though she was allowed to contest only a fraction of the parliamentary seats.” Thein Sein has “managed a surprisingly swift, mercifully bloodless, top-down reformation,” and has, among other reforms, released hundreds of political prisoners and relaxed censorship.

Keller fears that some credit U.S. sanctions as the impetus for reform, instead of these two “Burmese patriots.” While the debate over the role of sanctions continues, Congress has begun to “slowly untangle the restrictions.” Many Burmese are in support of this decision, including Suu Kyi who responded by saying, “I think it’s time that we stood on our own feet.”

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September 29, 2012

The Changing Nation of Burma

The Washington Post

This Washington Post editorial argues that despite Burma’s recent reforms there is still “no rule of law, no independent judiciary,” and that while Aung San Suu Kyi sits in parliament, she only has “a small minority.” Secondly, the editorial board draws attention to the “opacity” of the Burmese regime, which makes it impossible for outsiders to “be sure what prompted it to reach out to the democratic opposition at this moment.”

“It seems likely that China’s increasing assertiveness made Burma’s leaders nervous…” the editorial board speculates. They also suggest that the recent reforms could be attributed to strict sanctions and “a desire to improve the lot of their people, as Aung San Suu Kyi charitably suggested.” They also speculate that the Obama administration’s engagement policy, “which let them know that risks for reform would be reciprocated,” may have also have inspired reform.

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September 28, 2012

Democracy Is a Fragile Thing

Office of the U.S. Ambassador to the Republic of South Sudan

Susan Page, U.S. Ambassador to the Republic of South Sudan, writes about the importance of helping South Sudan foster its nascent democracy in her op-ed, “Democracy is a Fragile Thing.” She reflects on the struggles the South Sudanese endured on their path to democracy and marvels at their unbroken spirit despite the slow “pace of change” and “imperfect democratic processes.”

“The U.S. government’s assistance to South Sudan is not a gift-it is an investment,” Ambassador Page notes when summarizing the $1 billion in assistance that the U.S. has provided for infrastructure and development. The South Sudanese people must remain committed to the values of representative government and fundamental freedoms and, in turn, the “United States will continue to stand by you.”

The democratic process is “often messy,” notes Ambassador Page, but “it does work and it works best over the long term.” Reflecting on the fragility of new democracies as “hard earned, but easily lost,” she urges the Sudanese people to keep [their] “eyes set on the goal of a strong, unified nation [that] will ultimately prosper, even if the fruits of that toil are ultimately enjoyed by future generations.”

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